Qualification · Qualification 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.15 – 53.5
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
115 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 6.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 15.26Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48Event APEX 40.93Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 65.96Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.8 ±13.9
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 7.61Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 29.31Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 16.58Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4377, 10622, 10589
53
/ 100 compatProjected
122.2 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4377, 10622, 10589
Auto
25.5 21%
Teleop
62.6 52%
Endgame
31.9 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10605, 9755, 6558
35
/ 100 compatProjected
53.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10605, 9755, 6558
Auto
13.4 24%
Teleop
30.6 56%
Endgame
10.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score122.2pts
Blue projected score53.5pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 68.7
- Score range
- 22–154
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
209.8Season APEX194.8
25.5Auto13.4
62.6Teleop30.6
31.9Endgame10.8
47Consistency22
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 9 |
| teleop | 77 | 24 |
| endgame | 11 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 115 | 48 |
Result
Final score
115 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 6.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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