Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

1.39 – 243.69

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 393

Prediction correct · off by 86.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.5 ±15.3

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -12.44Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4377Boyne City Blaze

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 30.4Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5702Robotowatomi

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX -16.57Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 459.2 ±11.2

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 68.1Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 151.79Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 23.8Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6079, 4377, 5702

/ 100 compat

Projected

1.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6079, 4377, 5702

Auto

11.3 100%

Teleop

-21.4 0%

Endgame

10.6 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5505, 5193, 6558

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5505, 5193, 6558

Auto

48.0 20%

Teleop

137.7 56%

Endgame

58.7 24%

Strengths

· 5193 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score1.4pts

Blue projected score243.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -242.3
Score range: -28–273
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 161.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.5Season APEX459.2

11.3Auto48

-21.4Teleop137.7

10.6Endgame58.7

15Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	71
teleop	3	224
endgame	2	98
foul	15	0
total	25	393

Result

Final score

25 – 393

Prediction correct · off by 86.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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