Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
89.07 – 148.22
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
178 – 291
Prediction correct · off by 115.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 94.1Event APEX -5.58Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 65.33Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 29.32Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 62.23Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 44.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 41.73Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10589, 4392, 9755
45
/ 100 compatProjected
89.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10589, 4392, 9755
Auto
11.5 13%
Teleop
60.0 67%
Endgame
17.8 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9548, 6637, 3770
66
/ 100 compatProjected
148.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9548, 6637, 3770
Auto
27.4 18%
Teleop
73.2 49%
Endgame
47.8 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 2.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score89.1pts
Blue projected score148.2pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -59.1
- Score range
- 60–177
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
303.1Season APEX432.2
11.5Auto27.4
60Teleop73.2
17.8Endgame47.8
129Consistency163
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 55 |
| teleop | 85 | 176 |
| endgame | 58 | 60 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 178 | 291 |
Result
Final score
178 – 291
Prediction correct · off by 115.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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