Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

180.91 – 86.51

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

90 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 63.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.6 ±13.9

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 70.68Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 63.87Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10595Big Bay de Noc Black Bear Bolts

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 46.36Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.9 ±12.8

10605Techno Talons

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX -1.21Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 26.7Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 61.02Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7713, 9682, 10595

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7713, 9682, 10595

Auto

34.8 19%

Teleop

106.9 59%

Endgame

38.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10605, 9733, 6088

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10605, 9733, 6088

Auto

33.3 42%

Teleop

54.3 68%

Endgame

-8.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180.9pts

Blue projected score86.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.4
Score range: 58–210
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 162.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.6Season APEX204.9

34.8Auto33.3

106.9Teleop54.3

38.8Endgame-8.1

80Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	16
teleop	42	18
endgame	30	17
foul	0	0
total	90	51

Result

Final score

90 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 63.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.