Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

127.44 – 97.37

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 233

Prediction missed · off by 85.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.7 ±12.7

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 49.87Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 22.86Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4375Westend Gearbusters

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 54.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 372.7 ±11.7

5486Robotic Turmoil

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 3.15Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 111.65Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4827Minerbotics

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -17.43Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 857, 6569, 4375

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 857, 6569, 4375

Auto

26.3 23%

Teleop

46.5 40%

Endgame

42.7 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5486, 8612, 4827

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5486, 8612, 4827

Auto

25.6 27%

Teleop

44.8 48%

Endgame

23.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.4pts

Blue projected score97.4pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.1
Score range: 68–156
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 395 vs event baseline 160.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.7Season APEX372.7

26.3Auto25.6

46.5Teleop44.8

42.7Endgame23.9

127Consistency153

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	42
teleop	89	107
endgame	31	84
foul	0	0
total	162	233

Result

Final score

162 – 233

Prediction missed · off by 85.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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