Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
209.96 – 45.91
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
297 – 24
Prediction correct · off by 54.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 543 ±10.7
Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 26.51Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72Event APEX 48.62Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 134.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -1.42Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 49.09Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -1.76Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3770, 9722, 4391
79
/ 100 compatProjected
210 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3770, 9722, 4391
Auto
42.7 22%
Teleop
105.4 53%
Endgame
49.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5706, 4377, 6112
36
/ 100 compatProjected
45.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5706, 4377, 6112
Auto
19.6 39%
Teleop
26.5 52%
Endgame
4.8 9%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score210pts
Blue projected score45.9pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 164.1
- Score range
- 18–238
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
543Season APEX178.7
42.7Auto19.6
105.4Teleop26.5
49.7Endgame4.8
56Consistency135
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 60 | 9 |
| teleop | 161 | 3 |
| endgame | 76 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 297 | 24 |
Result
Final score
297 – 24
Prediction correct · off by 54.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.