Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.33 – 117.6

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

164 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 17 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.2 ±12.2

857Superior Roboworks

Season APEX 103Event APEX 53.62Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6637BetaWolves

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 30.59Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9682Norway Robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 93.12Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.6 ±13.3

10589Binary Crows

Season APEX 94.1Event APEX 12.23Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 36.54Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 68.83Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 857, 6637, 9682

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 857, 6637, 9682

Auto

37.0 21%

Teleop

86.5 50%

Endgame

50.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10589, 6558, 7713

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10589, 6558, 7713

Auto

35.8 32%

Teleop

63.2 56%

Endgame

13.6 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.3pts

Blue projected score117.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.7
Score range: 89–206
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 261 vs event baseline 158.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

304.2Season APEX227.6

37Auto35.8

86.5Teleop63.2

50.3Endgame13.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	24
teleop	95	62
endgame	42	11
foul	0	0
total	164	97

Result

Final score

164 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 17 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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