Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

181.8 – 186.31

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 147.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.7 ±14.9

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 109.98Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4835Junkyard Dawgs

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 27.17Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5702Robotowatomi

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 44.65Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.5 ±10.5

9773Cardinal Robotics

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 35.22Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8612Calvin Christian Robotics

Season APEX 237.6Event APEX 76.19Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 74.9Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3602, 4835, 5702

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3602, 4835, 5702

Auto

30.1 17%

Teleop

95.9 54%

Endgame

53.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9773, 8612, 5505

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9773, 8612, 5505

Auto

36.8 19%

Teleop

104.4 55%

Endgame

49.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score181.8pts

Blue projected score186.3pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.5
Score range: 154–214
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 331 vs event baseline 157.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.7Season APEX455.5

30.1Auto36.8

95.9Teleop104.4

53.1Endgame49.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	45
teleop	3	217
endgame	0	53
foul	0	0
total	16	315

Result

Final score

16 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 147.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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