Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
30.29 – 150.97
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 241
Prediction correct · off by 47.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.2 ±13.9
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -0.89Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 50.91Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX -19.73Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 350.4 ±11.1
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 91.55Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.9Event APEX 15.46Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48Event APEX 43.96Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9755, 9733, 5706
15
/ 100 compatProjected
30.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9755, 9733, 5706
Auto
12.3 100%
Teleop
5.3 43%
Endgame
-5.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2586, 7782, 10622
65
/ 100 compatProjected
151 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2586, 7782, 10622
Auto
24.9 16%
Teleop
93.1 61%
Endgame
33.6 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score30.3pts
Blue projected score151pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -120.7
- Score range
- 1–180
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
171.2Season APEX350.4
12.3Auto24.9
5.3Teleop93.1
-5.3Endgame33.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 42 |
| teleop | 14 | 122 |
| endgame | 15 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 241 |
Result
Final score
36 – 241
Prediction correct · off by 47.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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