Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
233.28 – 97.68
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
351 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 83 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 581.9 ±9.9
Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 57.56Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 116.98Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 58.74Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.3 ±12.7
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -5.97Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 40.71Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 62.94Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7250, 4391, 9249
90
/ 100 compatProjected
233.3 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7250, 4391, 9249
Auto
43.6 20%
Teleop
115.3 53%
Endgame
59.4 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6079, 10595, 9674
45
/ 100 compatProjected
97.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6079, 10595, 9674
Auto
-1.0 0%
Teleop
47.3 53%
Endgame
43.0 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score233.3pts
Blue projected score97.7pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 135.6
- Score range
- 70–261
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
581.9Season APEX203.3
43.6Auto-1
115.3Teleop47.3
59.4Endgame43
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 36 |
| teleop | 229 | 56 |
| endgame | 70 | 54 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 351 | 146 |
Result
Final score
351 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 83 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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