Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

24.97 – 137.7

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 110.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.3 ±12.8

6088Stephenson Eagles

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -1.04Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4827Minerbotics

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -11.71Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11466Mega-CAPs

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 37.72Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 505.6 ±10.7

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 101.97Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3770BlitzCreek

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 19.16Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7713Norse Code

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 16.57Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6088, 4827, 11466

/ 100 compat

Projected

25 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6088, 4827, 11466

Auto

3.9 20%

Teleop

5.6 28%

Endgame

10.5 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5086, 3770, 7713

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5086, 3770, 7713

Auto

24.7 18%

Teleop

72.2 51%

Endgame

43.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25pts

Blue projected score137.7pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.7
Score range: -2–165
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 149.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.3Season APEX505.6

3.9Auto24.7

5.6Teleop72.2

10.5Endgame43.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	76
teleop	35	156
endgame	31	60
foul	0	0
total	92	292

Result

Final score

92 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 110.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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