Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.87 – 91.85

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

97 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.4 ±12.8

9733Gold Diggers

Season APEX 48.3Event APEX 56.33Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6112Cyberstangs

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 14.05Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4392The Deceivers

Season APEX 145.2Event APEX 55.49Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.2 ±13.9

4835Junkyard Dawgs

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 39.52Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6558Aluminum Sting

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX 13.62Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5706Tahquamenon Phenomenon

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 38.71Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9733, 6112, 4392

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9733, 6112, 4392

Auto

16.1 15%

Teleop

48.5 47%

Endgame

39.3 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4835, 6558, 5706

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4835, 6558, 5706

Auto

14.3 16%

Teleop

45.9 52%

Endgame

28.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.9pts

Blue projected score91.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34
Score range: 66–152
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 147.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.4Season APEX182.2

16.1Auto14.3

48.5Teleop45.9

39.3Endgame28.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	21
teleop	54	17
endgame	1	4
foul	0	0
total	97	42

Result

Final score

97 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 39.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.