Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

175.35 – 209.01

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.8 ±12.8

9722Polar Robotics

Season APEX 72Event APEX 28.26Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5505V2 - Volts Squared

Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 100.44Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6569Gladiators

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 46.65Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.3 ±10.5

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 98.66Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6079JET SET

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -0.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3602RoboMos

Season APEX 118.1Event APEX 111Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9722, 5505, 6569

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9722, 5505, 6569

Auto

37.1 21%

Teleop

107.1 60%

Endgame

33.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5086, 6079, 3602

/ 100 compat

Projected

209 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5086, 6079, 3602

Auto

42.4 20%

Teleop

115.5 56%

Endgame

49.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.4pts

Blue projected score209pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.7
Score range: 143–241
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 178.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.8Season APEX396.3

37.1Auto42.4

107.1Teleop115.5

33.2Endgame49.3

79Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	31
teleop	87	134
endgame	50	70
foul	0	5
total	153	240

Result

Final score

153 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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