Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
355.19 – 247.63
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
413 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -2.67Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 176.82Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 181.04Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 106.96Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 40.58Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 100.09Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6079, 5193, 4391
82
/ 100 compatProjected
355.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6079, 5193, 4391
Auto
70.5 20%
Teleop
189.7 54%
Endgame
92.9 26%
Strengths
- · 4391 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2586, 10622, 5505
81
/ 100 compatProjected
247.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2586, 10622, 5505
Auto
40.5 16%
Teleop
143.4 58%
Endgame
64.0 26%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score355.2pts
Blue projected score247.6pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 107.6
- Score range
- 216–387
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
596.8Season APEX390.8
70.5Auto40.5
189.7Teleop143.4
92.9Endgame64
33Consistency93
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 90 | 58 |
| teleop | 181 | 128 |
| endgame | 142 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 413 | 268 |
Result
Final score
413 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts
Match videos
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