Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
339.4 – 247
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
466 – 259
Prediction correct · off by 69.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX -7.67Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 171.38Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 175.69Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 105.75Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 40.88Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.3Event APEX 100.37Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6079, 5193, 4391
84
/ 100 compatProjected
339.4 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6079, 5193, 4391
Auto
66.5 20%
Teleop
181.9 54%
Endgame
88.5 26%
Strengths
- · 4391 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2586, 10622, 5505
82
/ 100 compatProjected
247 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2586, 10622, 5505
Auto
40.1 16%
Teleop
145.7 59%
Endgame
61.5 25%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score339.4pts
Blue projected score247pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 92.4
- Score range
- 216–370
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
596.8Season APEX390.8
66.5Auto40.1
181.9Teleop145.7
88.5Endgame61.5
60Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 99 | 46 |
| teleop | 243 | 125 |
| endgame | 124 | 88 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 466 | 259 |
Result
Final score
466 – 259
Prediction correct · off by 69.3 pts
Match videos
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