FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.54 – 61.94

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±10.4

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 33.64Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 45.02Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 8.88Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.6 ±11

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 10.86Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 31.04Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 20.04Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9255, 8352, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 8352, 3632

Auto

27.1 31%

Teleop

39.8 46%

Endgame

20.3 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10607, 5577, 4838

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10607, 5577, 4838

Auto

7.3 12%

Teleop

34.5 56%

Endgame

20.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.5pts

Blue projected score61.9pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 25.6
Score range: 51–99
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 58.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.3Season APEX277.6

27.1Auto7.3

39.8Teleop34.5

20.3Endgame20.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	13
teleop	71	37
endgame	24	39
foul	0	0
total	138	89

Result

Final score

138 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Match videos

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