FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.39 – 38.69

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

71 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.1 ±11.6

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 27.27Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 19.9Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 18.22Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.5 ±13.3

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 10.66Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 26.19Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 1.84Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7196, 9651, 4680

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7196, 9651, 4680

Auto

14.7 24%

Teleop

28.7 47%

Endgame

18.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5756, 11490, 7865

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5756, 11490, 7865

Auto

10.2 27%

Teleop

17.3 45%

Endgame

10.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.4pts

Blue projected score38.7pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.7
Score range: 29–75
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 57.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.1Season APEX141.5

14.7Auto10.2

28.7Teleop17.3

18.3Endgame10.9

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	23
teleop	16	28
endgame	31	7
foul	5	5
total	71	63

Result

Final score

71 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 15 pts

Match videos

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