FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.7 – 63.81

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.4 ±13.9

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 10.48Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 18.45Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 19.77Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±11.6

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 14.2Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 21.41Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 28.2Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6532, 2048, 3096

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6532, 2048, 3096

Auto

15.3 31%

Teleop

28.2 57%

Endgame

6.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2673, 10577, 2224

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 10577, 2224

Auto

15.6 25%

Teleop

29.6 48%

Endgame

16.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.7pts

Blue projected score63.8pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.1
Score range: 39–74
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 166 vs event baseline 57.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.4Season APEX198.1

15.3Auto15.6

28.2Teleop29.6

6Endgame16.3

28Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	19
teleop	35	45
endgame	14	30
foul	0	0
total	72	94

Result

Final score

72 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Match videos

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