FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.06 – 60.65

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±10.4

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 32.05Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 43.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 7.8Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.1 ±11.6

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 25.41Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 17.98Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 17.26Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9255, 8352, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 8352, 3632

Auto

27.0 33%

Teleop

37.4 45%

Endgame

18.0 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7196, 9651, 4680

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7196, 9651, 4680

Auto

11.7 21%

Teleop

27.8 50%

Endgame

16.6 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.1pts

Blue projected score60.7pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.4
Score range: 51–93
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 56.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.3Season APEX237.1

27Auto11.7

37.4Teleop27.8

18Endgame16.6

16Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	27
teleop	53	36
endgame	29	27
foul	0	0
total	111	90

Result

Final score

111 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Match videos

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