FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.81 – 71.84

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

110 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±10.4

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 39.16Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 50.13Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 13.52Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±11.6

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 17.24Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 23.74Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 30.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9255, 8352, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 8352, 3632

Auto

29.6 29%

Teleop

47.4 46%

Endgame

25.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2673, 10577, 2224

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 10577, 2224

Auto

17.0 24%

Teleop

32.8 47%

Endgame

20.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.8pts

Blue projected score71.8pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31
Score range: 61–114
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 60.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.3Season APEX198.1

29.6Auto17

47.4Teleop32.8

25.6Endgame20

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	21
teleop	53	51
endgame	28	27
foul	0	0
total	110	99

Result

Final score

110 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Match videos

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