FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.17 – 95.96

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.4 ±10.5

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 109.71Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5478Pershing Doughbots

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 11.68Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 57.78Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.3 ±10.4

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 36.63Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 47.95Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 11.38Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 5478, 123

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3175, 5478, 123

Auto

47.9 27%

Teleop

97.6 55%

Endgame

33.4 19%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9255, 8352, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 8352, 3632

Auto

29.7 31%

Teleop

45.3 47%

Endgame

20.6 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.2pts

Blue projected score96pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.2
Score range: 85–190
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 59.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.4Season APEX260.3

47.9Auto29.7

97.6Teleop45.3

33.4Endgame20.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	29
teleop	84	59
endgame	27	54
foul	5	0
total	168	142

Result

Final score

168 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Match videos

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