FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

25 – 23.19

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

48 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.7 ±12.2

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 12.91Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 6Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 6.09Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.4 ±12.2

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 6Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 12.62Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 4.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9255, 4838, 7145

/ 100 compat

Projected

25 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9255, 4838, 7145

Auto

5.3 22%

Teleop

11.4 48%

Endgame

7.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2673, 10607, 11423

/ 100 compat

Projected

23.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 10607, 11423

Auto

4.9 22%

Teleop

12.8 59%

Endgame

4.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25pts

Blue projected score23.2pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.8
Score range: 17–31
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 59 vs event baseline 32.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.7Season APEX156.4

5.3Auto4.9

11.4Teleop12.8

7Endgame4.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	4
teleop	24	6
endgame	8	1
foul	0	0
total	48	11

Result

Final score

48 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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