FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.66 – 132.53

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 6.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.1 ±13.3

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 18.76Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3619BLACKHAWKS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 17Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 2.9Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.1 ±11.1

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 15.5Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 106.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2591RedTails

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 10.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9651, 3619, 7865

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9651, 3619, 7865

Auto

12.7 33%

Teleop

19.7 51%

Endgame

5.9 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2673, 3175, 2591

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 3175, 2591

Auto

22.9 17%

Teleop

78.8 60%

Endgame

30.1 23%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.7pts

Blue projected score132.5pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.9
Score range: 29–143
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 54.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.1Season APEX336.1

12.7Auto22.9

19.7Teleop78.8

5.9Endgame30.1

25Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	28
teleop	12	76
endgame	5	20
foul	0	15
total	33	139

Result

Final score

33 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 6.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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