FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.16 – 69.82

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.4 ±12.7

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 9.18Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 7.34Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5478Pershing Doughbots

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 4.64Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.5 ±12.8

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 43.23Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 8.19Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 18.4Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5756, 6532, 5478

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5756, 6532, 5478

Auto

7.6 32%

Teleop

11.5 48%

Endgame

4.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8352, 7145, 3096

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8352, 7145, 3096

Auto

25.8 38%

Teleop

28.6 42%

Endgame

14.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.2pts

Blue projected score69.8pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.7
Score range: 11–80
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 132 vs event baseline 54.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.4Season APEX230.5

7.6Auto25.8

11.5Teleop28.6

4.7Endgame14

102Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	30
teleop	29	26
endgame	18	18
foul	0	0
total	58	74

Result

Final score

58 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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