FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

28.3 – 19.67

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

44 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±13.3

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 11.81Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 14.8Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 1.69Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 112.8 ±14.9

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 7.74Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4854Trobots

Season APEX 19.9Event APEX 5.04Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 6.89Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5065, 2673, 7865

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5065, 2673, 7865

Auto

11.0 40%

Teleop

11.4 41%

Endgame

5.3 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5532, 4854, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5532, 4854, 3632

Auto

12.9 75%

Teleop

-0.9 0%

Endgame

5.1 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.3pts

Blue projected score19.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.6
Score range: 10–38
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 59 vs event baseline 54.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

148.8Season APEX112.8

11Auto12.9

11.4Teleop-0.9

5.3Endgame5.1

0Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	13
teleop	19	2
endgame	14	0
foul	0	0
total	44	15

Result

Final score

44 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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