FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.36 – 41.15

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

90 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.3 ±11

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 26.21Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2591RedTails

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 9.69Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 33.46Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.2 ±12.7

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 2.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 15.97Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 22.58Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2224, 2591, 9255

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2224, 2591, 9255

Auto

19.2 28%

Teleop

35.4 51%

Endgame

15.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4758, 9651, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4758, 9651, 7196

Auto

11.5 29%

Teleop

16.1 41%

Endgame

12.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.4pts

Blue projected score41.2pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.2
Score range: 31–79
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 54.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.3Season APEX202.2

19.2Auto11.5

35.4Teleop16.1

15.2Endgame12.1

7Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	12
teleop	43	34
endgame	23	15
foul	0	10
total	90	71

Result

Final score

90 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.