FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.51 – 179.49

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.5 ±13.3

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 7.73Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 7.91Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6616Mechanical Pumas

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX -0.13Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.3 ±11.2

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 27.78Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 107.86Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 43.85Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8899, 7145, 6616

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.5 pts

~0.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8899, 7145, 6616

Auto

14.9 97%

Teleop

-3.2 0%

Endgame

3.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 2%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11490, 3175, 8352

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11490, 3175, 8352

Auto

36.2 21%

Teleop

95.2 54%

Endgame

43.6 25%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 2%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.29 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score15.5pts

Blue projected score179.5pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 2%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164
Score range: 6–189
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 53.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.5Season APEX367.3

14.9Auto36.2

-3.2Teleop95.2

3.6Endgame43.6

87Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	45
teleop	5	103
endgame	2	34
foul	5	0
total	25	182

Result

Final score

25 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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