FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.86 – 16.56

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.5 ±11.7

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 41.56Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 4.5Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 26.8Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.5 ±13.3

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 7.34Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5478Pershing Doughbots

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 3.53Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4851JungleBots

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 5.69Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 123, 5065, 9255

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 5065, 9255

Auto

28.4 39%

Teleop

30.2 42%

Endgame

13.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7145, 5478, 4851

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7145, 5478, 4851

Auto

11.0 65%

Teleop

-1.5 0%

Endgame

7.3 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.9pts

Blue projected score16.6pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.3
Score range: 8–82
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 52.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.5Season APEX177.5

28.4Auto11

30.2Teleop-1.5

13.6Endgame7.3

61Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	19
teleop	80	9
endgame	41	13
foul	0	0
total	161	41

Result

Final score

161 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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