FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

54.1 – 31.4

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

66 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.7 ±12.7

2591RedTails

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 11.25Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 16.61Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 26.24Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.7 ±12.8

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 7.84Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 18.9Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 4.66Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2591, 9651, 11490

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2591, 9651, 11490

Auto

12.6 24%

Teleop

22.3 43%

Endgame

17.2 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3632, 6096, 5225

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3632, 6096, 5225

Auto

10.8 35%

Teleop

14.0 46%

Endgame

5.9 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.1pts

Blue projected score31.4pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.7
Score range: 22–63
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 90 vs event baseline 52.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.7Season APEX151.7

12.6Auto10.8

22.3Teleop14

17.2Endgame5.9

4Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	11
teleop	30	12
endgame	9	1
foul	5	0
total	66	24

Result

Final score

66 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.