FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

32.51 – 16.55

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

40 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.9 ±13.3

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 8.29Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 7.48Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 16.74Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.4 ±12.7

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 7.19Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5197Northwestern High

Season APEX 73.6Event APEX 6.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6616Mechanical Pumas

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 2.81Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5532, 6532, 2673

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5532, 6532, 2673

Auto

10.3 31%

Teleop

18.9 58%

Endgame

3.6 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5756, 5197, 6616

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5756, 5197, 6616

Auto

8.2 51%

Teleop

2.3 14%

Endgame

5.5 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.5pts

Blue projected score16.6pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16
Score range: 8–42
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 63 vs event baseline 52.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.9Season APEX196.4

10.3Auto8.2

18.9Teleop2.3

3.6Endgame5.5

18Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	13
teleop	20	5
endgame	4	5
foul	0	0
total	40	23

Result

Final score

40 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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