FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.13 – 62.86

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.9 ±10.5

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 1.7Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 14.87Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 107.56Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.5 ±14.9

4854Trobots

Season APEX 19.9Event APEX 9.27Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 45.97Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11461SW Phoenix

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 7.62Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10607, 4838, 3175

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10607, 4838, 3175

Auto

22.4 18%

Teleop

73.8 59%

Endgame

28.0 23%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4854, 8352, 11461

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4854, 8352, 11461

Auto

17.9 30%

Teleop

24.1 40%

Endgame

18.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.1pts

Blue projected score62.9pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.3
Score range: 54–133
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 52.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.9Season APEX176.5

22.4Auto17.9

73.8Teleop24.1

28Endgame18.5

28Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	15
teleop	80	6
endgame	31	4
foul	0	20
total	143	45

Result

Final score

143 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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