FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.38 – 91.51

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.1 ±12.8

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 18.68Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 5.28Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 3.42Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.5 ±13.3

3619BLACKHAWKS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 24.78Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 20.11Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 46.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5577, 8899, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5577, 8899, 4758

Auto

3.2 13%

Teleop

10.6 41%

Endgame

11.8 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 2%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3619, 3096, 7692

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3619, 3096, 7692

Auto

23.1 25%

Teleop

50.3 55%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

· 7692 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 2%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27.4pts

Blue projected score91.5pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.1
Score range: 18–101
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 51.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.1Season APEX177.5

3.2Auto23.1

10.6Teleop50.3

11.8Endgame18

59Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	24
teleop	39	45
endgame	17	16
foul	0	0
total	60	85

Result

Final score

60 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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