FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.15 – 41.75

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 148.5 ±13.9

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 9.03Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 5.4Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 10.72Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.8 ±12.8

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX -0.84Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 21.52Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 21.07Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7145, 5065, 1

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7145, 5065, 1

Auto

11.5 44%

Teleop

6.7 26%

Endgame

7.8 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5225, 9255, 11490

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5225, 9255, 11490

Auto

14.7 36%

Teleop

16.7 41%

Endgame

9.4 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.2pts

Blue projected score41.8pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.6
Score range: 16–51
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 114 vs event baseline 51.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

148.5Season APEX198.8

11.5Auto14.7

6.7Teleop16.7

7.8Endgame9.4

93Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	20
teleop	6	48
endgame	4	22
foul	0	5
total	19	95

Result

Final score

19 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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