FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.87 – 78.87

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.9 ±11.7

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 101.15Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 2.25Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 17.47Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±11.7

11461SW Phoenix

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 6.99Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 30.4Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 41.48Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3175, 5532, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3175, 5532, 7196

Auto

24.1 20%

Teleop

67.3 56%

Endgame

29.0 24%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11461, 2224, 123

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11461, 2224, 123

Auto

22.8 29%

Teleop

35.3 44%

Endgame

21.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.9pts

Blue projected score78.9pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42
Score range: 70–130
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 50.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.9Season APEX227.4

24.1Auto22.8

67.3Teleop35.3

29Endgame21.8

58Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	37
teleop	97	30
endgame	40	30
foul	0	5
total	176	102

Result

Final score

176 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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