FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

81.12 – 68.37

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

100 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.4 ±12.8

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 19.32Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 44.38Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 17.42Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.3 ±14.8

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 45.25Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4854Trobots

Season APEX 19.9Event APEX 7.87Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 15.25Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6096, 8352, 2048

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6096, 8352, 2048

Auto

26.9 34%

Teleop

39.1 49%

Endgame

14.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7692, 4854, 9651

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7692, 4854, 9651

Auto

21.1 32%

Teleop

34.0 51%

Endgame

11.2 17%

Strengths

· 7692 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.1pts

Blue projected score68.4pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 7%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.8
Score range: 59–90
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 49.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.4Season APEX175.3

26.9Auto21.1

39.1Teleop34

14.1Endgame11.2

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	22
teleop	59	36
endgame	16	34
foul	0	5
total	100	97

Result

Final score

100 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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