FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.89 – 118.35

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

9 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.5 ±13.9

4851JungleBots

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 9.62Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 7.12Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 5.15Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.4 ±12.4

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 98.15Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 8.95Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11423Team IIA

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 11.25Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4851, 7865, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4851, 7865, 4758

Auto

2.8 15%

Teleop

9.7 52%

Endgame

6.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3175, 1, 11423

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3175, 1, 11423

Auto

25.2 21%

Teleop

64.2 54%

Endgame

29.5 25%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.55 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.9pts

Blue projected score118.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.5
Score range: 13–127
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 49.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.5Season APEX305.4

2.8Auto25.2

9.7Teleop64.2

6.3Endgame29.5

0Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	14
teleop	4	106
endgame	0	29
foul	0	0
total	9	149

Result

Final score

9 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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