FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.38 – 71.75

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.3 ±11

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 26.86Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 5.87Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 7.65Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.9 ±11.7

3619BLACKHAWKS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 26.42Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 44.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 0.92Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2224, 3632, 5756

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2224, 3632, 5756

Auto

14.0 34%

Teleop

10.6 26%

Endgame

16.8 41%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3619, 8352, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3619, 8352, 10607

Auto

17.4 24%

Teleop

40.3 56%

Endgame

14.3 20%

Strengths

· 8352 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.4pts

Blue projected score71.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.4
Score range: 31–81
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 48.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.3Season APEX191.9

14Auto17.4

10.6Teleop40.3

16.8Endgame14.3

0Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	24
teleop	20	38
endgame	28	28
foul	0	0
total	63	90

Result

Final score

63 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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