FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

26.12 – 25.41

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 17.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.6 ±13.9

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 0.66Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 22.87Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 2.59Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.9 ±13.3

5642Mumford Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 33.9Event APEX -0.92Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 13.94Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 12.39Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5225, 3096, 5532

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5225, 3096, 5532

Auto

14.9 56%

Teleop

12.0 45%

Endgame

-0.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5642, 2673, 2048

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5642, 2673, 2048

Auto

10.4 40%

Teleop

7.1 28%

Endgame

8.2 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.1pts

Blue projected score25.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.7
Score range: 16–35
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 87 vs event baseline 48.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.6Season APEX176.9

14.9Auto10.4

12Teleop7.1

-0.3Endgame8.2

89Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	21
teleop	10	31
endgame	4	6
foul	0	0
total	29	58

Result

Final score

29 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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