FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.14 – 47.99

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106 ±13.3

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 5.97Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2591RedTails

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 7.06Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 20.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±12.2

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 18.11Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 8.99Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 20.89Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1, 2591, 6096

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1, 2591, 6096

Auto

7.8 24%

Teleop

20.1 62%

Endgame

4.4 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10577, 7865, 9255

/ 100 compat

Projected

48 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10577, 7865, 9255

Auto

12.0 26%

Teleop

26.5 56%

Endgame

8.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.1pts

Blue projected score48pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.8
Score range: 24–57
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 48.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106Season APEX204.2

7.8Auto12

20.1Teleop26.5

4.4Endgame8.5

40Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	22
teleop	22	26
endgame	10	5
foul	0	0
total	43	53

Result

Final score

43 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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