FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

50.44 – 15.91

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.5 ±14.4

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 9.59Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 24.76Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4854Trobots

Season APEX 19.9Event APEX 16.09Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.2 ±11.7

5642Mumford Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 33.9Event APEX -3.73Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 8.69Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 10.95Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5756, 9255, 4854

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5756, 9255, 4854

Auto

13.2 27%

Teleop

23.7 48%

Endgame

12.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5642, 4680, 5577

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5642, 4680, 5577

Auto

2.1 22%

Teleop

1.2 13%

Endgame

6.3 66%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.4pts

Blue projected score15.9pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.5
Score range: 7–59
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 84 vs event baseline 47.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.5Season APEX291.2

13.2Auto2.1

23.7Teleop1.2

12.5Endgame6.3

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	0
teleop	21	27
endgame	1	22
foul	0	0
total	35	49

Result

Final score

35 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.