FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.94 – 75.72

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.2 ±12.8

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 6.15Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 10.01Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 10.78Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.2 ±11

123Team - Cosmos

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 31.32Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 7.26Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 37.14Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3632, 4758, 2048

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3632, 4758, 2048

Auto

13.2 52%

Teleop

5.2 21%

Endgame

6.8 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 123, 2673, 8352

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 123, 2673, 8352

Auto

23.9 32%

Teleop

33.0 44%

Endgame

17.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.9pts

Blue projected score75.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.8
Score range: 19–84
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 46.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.2Season APEX277.2

13.2Auto23.9

5.2Teleop33

6.8Endgame17.6

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	39
teleop	9	75
endgame	15	30
foul	0	0
total	39	144

Result

Final score

39 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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