FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

54.41 – 27.55

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

75 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.8 ±12.7

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 18.7Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 20.63Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 15.08Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.8 ±13.9

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 17.35Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 2.34Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 7.86Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3096, 7196, 4838

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3096, 7196, 4838

Auto

8.0 15%

Teleop

36.3 67%

Endgame

10.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6096, 5532, 7145

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6096, 5532, 7145

Auto

11.1 42%

Teleop

14.8 56%

Endgame

0.7 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.4pts

Blue projected score27.6pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.9
Score range: 20–62
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 46.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.8Season APEX144.8

8Auto11.1

36.3Teleop14.8

10.2Endgame0.7

7Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	29
teleop	32	13
endgame	23	8
foul	0	0
total	75	50

Result

Final score

75 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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