FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

7.41 – 0

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 27.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.6 ±12.8

5065Knights #5065

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 7.66Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX -1.82Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 1.57Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.5 ±13.9

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 4.9Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 2.19Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX -9.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5065, 10607, 5225

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5065, 10607, 5225

Auto

8.0 100%

Teleop

4.1 52%

Endgame

-4.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7865, 8899, 6532

/ 100 compat

Projected

-2.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7865, 8899, 6532

Auto

-1.3 100%

Teleop

6.9 0%

Endgame

-6.7 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score7.4pts

Blue projected score-2.1pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.4
Score range: -8–15
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 63 vs event baseline 46.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.6Season APEX148.5

8Auto-1.3

4.1Teleop6.9

-4.2Endgame-6.7

128Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	10
teleop	4	20
endgame	10	10
foul	0	0
total	23	40

Result

Final score

23 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 27.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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