FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.21 – 41.46

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.4 ±11.6

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 34.56Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 18.23Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 40.42Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.8 ±12.2

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 14.78Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 4.6Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 22.08Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8352, 10577, 7692

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8352, 10577, 7692

Auto

18.6 20%

Teleop

47.4 51%

Endgame

26.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9651, 6099, 9255

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9651, 6099, 9255

Auto

12.8 31%

Teleop

23.6 56%

Endgame

5.4 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 6%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.2pts

Blue projected score41.5pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.7
Score range: 33–101
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 160 vs event baseline 45.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.4Season APEX207.8

18.6Auto12.8

47.4Teleop23.6

26.3Endgame5.4

53Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	22
teleop	51	13
endgame	20	12
foul	5	0
total	113	47

Result

Final score

113 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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