FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.21 – 51.87

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

9 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 132.2 ±14.9

5197Northwestern High

Season APEX 73.6Event APEX 3.76Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4854Trobots

Season APEX 19.9Event APEX 15.38Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10607DAAS Jaguars

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 0.07Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 142.8 ±12.8

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 18.76Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 27.72Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7865HODAbotics

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 5.39Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5197, 4854, 10607

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5197, 4854, 10607

Auto

7.3 48%

Teleop

10.2 68%

Endgame

-2.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6096, 2224, 7865

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6096, 2224, 7865

Auto

14.4 28%

Teleop

25.2 49%

Endgame

11.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score19.2pts

Blue projected score51.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.7
Score range: 11–60
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 66 vs event baseline 45.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

132.2Season APEX142.8

7.3Auto14.4

10.2Teleop25.2

-2.4Endgame11.9

75Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	11
teleop	4	43
endgame	4	3
foul	0	0
total	9	57

Result

Final score

9 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 7.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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