FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

48.07 – 11.59

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

52 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 6.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229 ±12.2

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 34.47Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 1.36Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 12.24Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.1 ±13.9

6099Knight Riders

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 3.15Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 2.19Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 6.25Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8352, 5225, 5756

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8352, 5225, 5756

Auto

12.8 26%

Teleop

24.9 51%

Endgame

10.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6099, 8899, 1

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6099, 8899, 1

Auto

-2.7 0%

Teleop

9.2 88%

Endgame

4.0 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.1pts

Blue projected score11.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.5
Score range: 4–56
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 45.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229Season APEX126.1

12.8Auto-2.7

24.9Teleop9.2

10.9Endgame4

86Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	11
teleop	19	9
endgame	14	0
foul	0	0
total	52	20

Result

Final score

52 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 6.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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