FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.19 – 42.17

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 10 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.5 ±12.7

5478Pershing Doughbots

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 0.54Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5532The Panther Bots

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 0.92Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 14.73Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.3 ±12.8

11461SW Phoenix

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 3.37Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9255Botmasterz

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 26Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 12.8Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5478, 5532, 9651

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5478, 5532, 9651

Auto

10.5 62%

Teleop

6.9 41%

Endgame

-0.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11461, 9255, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11461, 9255, 4758

Auto

13.1 32%

Teleop

27.8 68%

Endgame

-0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 5%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score16.2pts

Blue projected score42.2pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26
Score range: 8–50
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 54 vs event baseline 46.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.5Season APEX194.3

10.5Auto13.1

6.9Teleop27.8

-0.5Endgame-0.1

197Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	9
teleop	4	7
endgame	2	14
foul	0	0
total	24	30

Result

Final score

24 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 10 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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