FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

1.87 – 70.04

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225 ±12.2

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 3.18Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7145RoboHawks

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX -0.92Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX -0.39Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.6 ±12.7

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 16.19Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 13.29Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 40.56Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4680, 7145, 2673

/ 100 compat

Projected

1.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 7145, 2673

Auto

5.4 0%

Teleop

-7.0 100%

Endgame

-1.5 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7196, 6096, 7692

/ 100 compat

Projected

70 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7196, 6096, 7692

Auto

15.0 22%

Teleop

44.7 66%

Endgame

7.9 12%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 4%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score1.9pts

Blue projected score70pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.2
Score range: -6–78
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 46.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225Season APEX198.6

5.4Auto15

-7Teleop44.7

-1.5Endgame7.9

90Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	9	49
endgame	18	28
foul	5	0
total	47	94

Result

Final score

47 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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