FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.27 – 11.02

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

159 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 64.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347 ±11.2

4851JungleBots

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 10.61Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 90.99Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 23.67Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.5 ±12.2

10577TARMINATORS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 1.71Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11490The Southwest Sparks

Season APEX 38Event APEX 11.25Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -1.94Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4851, 3175, 2224

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4851, 3175, 2224

Auto

23.0 18%

Teleop

65.8 52%

Endgame

36.8 29%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10577, 11490, 5577

/ 100 compat

Projected

11 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10577, 11490, 5577

Auto

-0.7 0%

Teleop

2.6 24%

Endgame

9.0 83%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score125.3pts

Blue projected score11pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 3%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.3
Score range: 3–133
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 42.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347Season APEX278.5

23Auto-0.7

65.8Teleop2.6

36.8Endgame9

86Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	9
teleop	75	49
endgame	52	39
foul	0	10
total	159	107

Result

Final score

159 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 64.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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