FIM District Wayne State Event presented by Magna

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.09 – 30.14

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

173 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 290 ±14.5

4854Trobots

Season APEX 19.9Event APEX 7.09Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 71.15Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 8.85Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177 ±13.3

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 9.83Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5225The Shambotz

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 2.63Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 17.68Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4854, 3175, 3096

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4854, 3175, 3096

Auto

24.4 29%

Teleop

39.2 47%

Endgame

20.5 24%

Strengths

· 3175 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1, 5225, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1, 5225, 7196

Auto

10.5 38%

Teleop

14.5 52%

Endgame

3.0 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.1pts

Blue projected score30.1pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 5%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57
Score range: 23–94
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 38.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

290Season APEX177

24.4Auto10.5

39.2Teleop14.5

20.5Endgame3

71Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	7
teleop	112	23
endgame	35	9
foul	0	0
total	173	39

Result

Final score

173 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 47.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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